Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.514354 3.734549 3.969278 4.239492 4.543717 4.877745 5.275169
2024-10-27 3.141015 3.419827 3.730436 4.106024 4.553380 5.076560 5.746319
2024-11-03 2.997806 3.336769 3.730140 4.228924 4.857777 5.644296 6.738326
2024-11-10 2.903719 3.298598 3.774815 4.407305 5.252459 6.389040 8.129881
2024-11-17 2.716576 3.130656 3.643954 4.349476 5.335357 6.741447 9.083292
2024-11-24 2.539720 2.961303 3.495889 4.252294 5.351415 7.005355 9.993927
2024-12-01 2.398773 2.827328 3.382366 4.189735 5.408840 7.346872 11.175263
2024-12-08 2.282105 2.716796 3.291002 4.148575 5.493239 7.754504 12.681606
2024-12-15 2.216979 2.669939 3.282255 4.226076 5.776565 8.581313 15.605777
2024-12-22 2.085326 2.524976 3.125795 4.066025 5.646465 8.614508 16.648247
2024-12-29 2.023172 2.471838 3.096267 4.099001 5.853405 9.380106 20.515190
2025-01-05 1.955870 2.407472 3.045639 4.093200 5.991468 10.053672 25.097925
2025-01-12 1.855419 2.299749 2.936698 4.004450 6.007046 10.577305 30.990480
2025-01-19 1.754418 2.185953 2.811305 3.876660 5.929530 10.868679 37.199836
2025-01-26 1.716833 2.161730 2.820781 3.981619 6.351387 12.781536 70.764386
2025-02-02 1.691433 2.153712 2.854927 4.136459 6.933659 15.791449 325.425975
2025-02-09 1.625020 2.080422 2.779273 4.080297 7.020611 17.188427 NaN
2025-02-16 1.557525 2.002128 2.690380 3.989808 7.007168 18.229617 NaN
2025-02-23 1.501206 1.938254 2.621273 3.930958 7.066388 19.789810 NaN
2025-03-02 1.452690 1.884106 2.564964 3.891780 7.173486 21.889884 NaN
2025-03-09 1.425708 1.862048 2.561235 3.958980 7.604730 27.199804 NaN
2025-03-16 1.366155 1.786144 2.460683 3.814429 7.374926 27.110225 NaN
2025-03-23 1.337907 1.758621 2.442353 3.842555 7.690518 33.117025 NaN